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P · 22 entries

Policy

Evidence-based analysis of hidden consequences in policy.

P001
80%

GDPR Compliance Moat

GDPR protects user privacy and levels the playing field between big tech and smaller competitors.

50-100x disparitycompliance cost (% of revenue)-18%eu tech startup formation
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P002
75%

Gig Economy Classification

Reclassifying gig workers as employees protects vulnerable workers.

-60%worker flexibility-25%gig work opportunities
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P003
85%

Zoning Affordability Paradox

Zoning preserves neighborhood character and protects community quality of life.

+300%housing cost to income ratio-60%housing units permitted vs needed
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P004
80%

Right to Repair Ecosystem Shift

Right to repair empowers consumers to fix their own devices affordably.

Improvedparts availabilityMinimal savingsself-repair cost vs professional
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P005
80%

Content Moderation Whack-a-Mole

Platform content moderation effectively reduces harmful content while preserving free expression.

Significant collateral damagefalse positive rate (legitimate content removed)Severemoderator ptsd rate
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P006
75%

Antitrust Breakup Hydra Effect

Breaking up big tech companies increases competition and benefits consumers.

Modest improvementmarket concentration post-breakupSlowtime to implement breakup
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P007
70%

Universal Basic Income Inflation Pass-Through

Universal Basic Income eliminates poverty by providing unconditional cash to all citizens.

Improvedpoverty rate+15%housing costs in ubi areas
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P008
80%

Carbon Tax Border Adjustment

Carbon taxes reduce emissions by making pollution expensive.

Significantcarbon leakage rateExpandingeu cbam scope (imports affected)
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P009
75%

Drug Decriminalization Displacement

Decriminalizing drugs reduces harm by treating addiction as a health issue.

-80%drug overdose deaths (portugal)+40%drug overdose deaths (oregon)
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P010
80%

Minimum Wage Automation Trigger

Higher minimum wage helps low-income workers by increasing their earnings.

+35ppself-checkout adoption (high-mw states)-50%entry-level positions per location
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P011
75%

Student Loan Forgiveness Moral Hazard

Student loan forgiveness reduces inequality and helps borrowers escape debt traps.

0% improvementtuition growth rate post-forgivenessIncreased moral hazardfuture borrowing behavior
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P012
88%

Rent Control Supply Destruction

Rent control makes housing more affordable and protects tenants from displacement.

-20%rent for controlled tenants-15%rental housing supply
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P013
80%

Immigration Restriction Brain Drain

Immigration restrictions protect domestic workers and preserve jobs.

Fewer startups, fewer jobsimmigrant-founded companies (us)+40% vacancy ratestem job vacancies
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P014
80%

Data Localization Balkanization

Data sovereignty and localization protect citizens' data and national security.

+45%cloud infrastructure costs+200% legal costsstartup international expansion
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P015
75%

EU AI Act Innovation Chill

AI regulation ensures safety and builds public trust in AI systems.

-20%eu ai startup formationNew costcompliance cost per ai product
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P016
80%

Section 230 Repeal Collateral Damage

Repealing Section 230 will hold platforms accountable for harmful content and improve the internet.

-99%websites hosting user content-95%new social platform launches
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P017
85%

Surveillance State Normalization

Surveillance technology prevents crime and terrorism, making society safer.

+536%cctv cameras per capita (uk)Minimalcrime reduction from cctv (meta-analysis)
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P018
80%

Sanctions Dedollarization Acceleration

Financial sanctions effectively punish bad actors and change behavior.

-14ppdollar share of global reserves+150%central bank gold purchases
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P019
80%

Net Neutrality Tiered Internet

Net neutrality ensures equal access and preserves internet innovation.

-10-15%isp capital expenditure during uncertaintyBarrier to entrystartup costs with tiered internet
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P020
80%

Age Verification Privacy Paradox

Age verification protects children from harmful online content.

Massive new attack surfaceidentity data breach risk-20-30%adult platform usage
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P021
75%

Crypto Regulation Innovation Flight

Crypto regulation protects consumers and reduces financial crime.

Mass exoduscrypto company relocationsLess protectionconsumer access to crypto
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P022
80%

Mandatory Disclosure Compliance Theater

Mandatory disclosure requirements increase transparency and accountability.

-99%disclosure readership rate+300%average privacy policy length
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